Sistema Tropical 98S (Noroeste de Australia)

Sistema Tropical 98S




20 kts - 1007 mb





En las últimas horas se ha potenciado.

Se encuentra al Noroeste de Australia y podría evolucionar a algo más potente.


Saludos.

Continúa con 20 kts - 1007 mb

No me parece gran cosa, la verdad. Ni creo que llegue a ser algo decente. De momento, solo el JTWC sigue al sistema, y tampoco le da vidilla:

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3N
115.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 112.6E, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED METSAT IMAGERY INDICATES
A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LAND AND SEA SURFACE OBSERVA-
TIONS, ALONG WITH A 020213Z PARTIAL ASCAT PASS QUANTIFY INITIAL
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS PLACES
THE DISTURBANCE UNDER FAVORABLE NORTHEASTERLY DIFFLUENCE AND LOW TO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KNOTS. VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND POOR LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE
LIMITING FACTORS IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR

 

No importa Ermuleto eso pasa bastante amenudo, no va ser la primera ni la última ves.

Como dices, ya estamos en conteo regresivo parala temporada atlantica.

Saludos